Following our recent report that FXCM had made an unsolicited offer to acquire GAIN Capital it looked likely that the GAIN board weren't very keen on that prospect. That perception was confirmed this morning when I received an email signed:
Gary Tilkin, CEO and President, Global Futures and Forex Limited.
Gary told me that:
I am writing with exciting news. Today, GFT and GAIN Capital Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: GCAP) announced that they have agreed to merge. The combination creates a larger, stronger company bringing innovation in trading technology and award winning customer service to our clients and partners.
Both GAIN and GFT have long and established histories in the online trading space, and together can leverage the best of breed in technology, service, dealing, and execution to create a new industry leader.
GAIN themselves express things slightly differently. In one press release this morning they said that:
The Board of Directors of GAIN Capital Holdings, Inc.(NYSE: GCAP), a global provider of online trading services, today announced that it has rejected an unsolicited written proposal from FXCM Inc. to acquire GAIN for 0.3996 shares of FXCM Class A common stock for each share of GAIN common stock.
The GAIN Board of Directors, with the assistance of its financial and legal advisers, has completed a thorough evaluation of the proposal, as well as a range of options to build shareholder value. Based on its evaluation, the Board has determined that pursuing the transaction proposed by FXCM would significantly undervalue the Company and its prospects and would not be in the best interests of the Company's shareholders at this time. The Board therefore unanimously rejected the proposal and reaffirmed its commitment to GAIN's strategic plan.
In a second press release they say that:
GAIN Capital Holdings, Inc. today announced that it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Global Futures & Forex, LTD (GFT), a global provider of retail forex and derivatives trading with offices in London, Singapore, Tokyo, Sydney and Grand Rapids, Michigan. The purchase price is approximately $107.8 million which, including $80 million of GFT cash at closing, results in a net purchase price of $27.8 million. The purchase price will be paid with $40 million in cash, a five-year $40 million seller note and the issuance of approximately 4.9 million shares of GAIN common stock. Both companies will initially retain their separate brand identities, while benefiting from significant synergies and capabilities across their complementary businesses. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2013, subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.
Whether it's a "merger" or an "acquisition" it looks as though FXCM has a fight on its hands to deliver what it called at the start of the month:
The expected improvement of financial strength and stability of the combined entity.
GAIN evidently has other ideas! Here's how the GCAP and FXCM share prices looked shortly after the market opened today:
NinjaTrader daily chart of FXCM and GCAP at 9:40 EST on April 25th 2013
Filed under Brokers by 
Sid is the Superstitious Robot and Ray is the Random Robot and they are cousins. They finally got to meet in person earlier this week thanks to Sid's appearance in the Designs of the Year 2013 exhibition at The Design Museum in London. Here's the undeniable proof:
Two Robots and a Human at the Designs of the Year 2013 Exhibition
Sid the Superstitious Robot is the "brains" behind Shing Tat Chung's Superstitious Fund, which was selected to appear in the digital category of this year's design awards. Sid and the Superstitious Fund didn't win the category unfortunately. That honour went to the new UK Government web site, which won the overall Design of the Year 2013 award too. In all the circumstances Sid wasn't too disappointed to lose out to a much better funded design.
Since Ray blew his entire (thankfully virtual) account recently I was pleasantly surprised to discover that Sid has actually been making some real profits recently spread betting on the FTSE 100 index, and with only 47 days left out of the 12 months the Superstitious Fund was designed to run his account was showing an overall loss of 6.3%, having been down over 10% after less than a month's trading back in June last year.
Just in case you're wondering about the design on the back of Ray's tee shirt here it is, elegantly modelled once again by yours truly:
Design by committee is fraught with danger!
None of the Design Museum staff passed comment on the tee shirt, but I did ask a couple of passers by to comment on Superstitious Sid's modus operandi after they had examined him closely. One felt it was:
A ridiculous way to try and make money from the markets!
whereas another thought it was:
An extremely interesting psychological experiment!
What's your take? Sid the Superstious Robot will remain on display at The Design Museum until July 7th if you'd like to take a closer look before deciding.
Filed under Trading Systems by
It's all go today. I've only just finished blogging about connecting a new trading platform to one of my own brokers, and now I find said broker is in the news for a very different reason. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission have just issued a press release announcing that they have:
Today issued an Order requiring Interactive Brokers LLC (IB) of Greenwich, Conn., to pay a $225,000 civil monetary penalty for failing to calculate the amount of customer funds on deposit, the amount of funds required to be on deposit in customer segregated accounts, failing to maintain sufficient U.S. dollars (USD) in customer segregated accounts in the United States to meet all USD-denominated obligations, and supervision failures. The CFTC’s Order also requires IB to cease and desist from violating CFTC Regulations, as charged.
According to their website Interactive Brokers have been:
Rated Best Online Broker for the Second Year in a Row by Barron's 2013
and:
For 36 years the IB Group has been building electronic access trading technology that delivers real advantages to traders, investors and institutions worldwide. Interactive Brokers Group and its affiliates' equity capital exceeds $4.8 billion. We are the largest US electronic broker based on daily average revenue trades executing 407,000 trades per day.
Despite that reputation and all that equity capital, IB have fallen foul of the CFTC who find (with IB's assistance!) that:
From at least January 2008 through at least April 4, 2011, IB failed to compute as of the close of business each day, on a currency-by-currency basis, the amount of customer funds required to be on deposit and the amount of customer funds actually on deposit in segregated accounts on behalf of commodity and options customers.
Additionally, between September 21, 2011 and May 8, 2012, IB improperly covered a portion of its USD commodity futures and options customer obligations with Japanese yen and Swiss francs to maximize its interest earnings and not at the request of any of its commodity customers. As a result, IB did not retain enough USD in segregation to meet its USD-denominated obligations to its commodity customers – with the USD segregation requirement shortfall ranging from approximately $90 million to $300 million during that time, according to the Order. IB discovered and self-reported this violation to the CFTC on May 10, 2012; however, IB had excess segregated funds ranging from $48.4 million to $455.3 million at all relevant times.
The Order itself goes into a bit more detail than the CFTC's press release, and reveals that:
From at least January 2008 until at least April 4, 2011, IB failed to compute as of the close of business each day, on a currency-by-currency basis, the amount of customer funds required by the Act and Regulations to be on deposit and the amount of customer funds on deposit in segregated accounts on behalf of commodity and options customers. Rather, IB only prepared such segregation calculations on an overall, USD-equivalent basis, in violation of Regulation 1.32(a).
From September 21,2011 to May 8, 2012, IB covered a portion of its USD commodity futures and options customer obligations with Japanese yen and Swiss francs. It did not do so at the request of any of its commodity customers but rather to maximize its interest earnings, in violation of Regulation 1.49(b ). As a result, IB did not retain enough USD in segregation to meet its USD denominated obligations to its commodity customers, in violation of Regulation 1.49(e). The shortfall in USD requirement ranged from approximately $90 million to $300 million during that time. IB discovered and self-reported the violations of Regulation 1.49 to the Commission on May 10,2012. During the time period of the violations of Rule 1.49, IB had excess segregated funds on deposit in customer segregated accounts (including USD plus other currencies) of between $ 48.4 MM and $ 455.3 MM.
Prior to May 9, 2012, IB did not have procedures in place to ensure compliance with Regulations 1.49 and 1.32. In fact, IB was not aware of its obligations under Regulation 1.49 until May 2012. Moreover, IB further failed to adequately train and diligently supervise its officers, employees, and agents to ensure compliance with Regulations 1.32 and 1.49, in violation of Regulation 166.3. IB independently implemented corrective measures after discovering the violations; and IB cooperated with the Division in investigating the circumstances.
The Order also reveals that:
In anticipation of the institution of an administrative proceeding, Respondent has submitted an Offer of Settlement ("Offer"), which the Commission has determined to accept. Without admitting or denying any of the findings or conclusions herein, Respondent consents to the entry of this Order Instituting Proceedings Pursuant to Sections 6(c) and 6(d) of the Commodity Exchange Act, as Amended, Making Findings and Imposing Remedial Sanctions ("Order") and acknowledge service of this Order.
In all the circumstances one can't help but wonder how many other brokers there are still out there that don't even know what regulations they are supposed to be complying with, how the CFTC will discover that fact if said brokers don't follow in IB's footsteps and notify the CFTC themselves, and what fine the CFTC would impose if said brokers didn't offer an appropriate sum of money in advance?
Filed under Regulation by
MultiCharts have just announced on their blog that they have introduced what they describe as:
The BEST currently available free trading software.
The MultiCharts hype machine goes on to say that:
MultiCharts 8.5 Starter Edition is a FREE version of our award-winning trading platform. Starter Edition was designed for beginner traders to ease the burden of buying expensive software when you are just starting out. MultiCharts .NET Starter Edition offers all features of MultiCharts .NET, including LIVE trading capabilities (chart, DOM, drag-and-drop strategies and fully automated), best charting in the industry, advanced strategy development capabilities in C# and Visual Basic, integration with Visual Studio, high-precision tick-by-tick strategy and portfolio backtesting, extremely fast optimization and more.
They then go on to mention the tiny little fly in the trading ointment:
You can [only] trade up to two (2) symbols at a time.
Here at the Trading Gurus we take all such claims with a large pinch of salt until we've performed our own tests. Here are our hasty initial impressions.
Many moons ago now FXCM introduced the Strategy Trader platform, which looked to us a lot like a "white label" version of the venerable MultiCharts platform, but with strategy programming using the C# language rather than the PowerLanguage flavour of TradeStation's EasyLanguage. More recently FXCM announced that they were dropping support for Strategy Trader whilst subsequently introducing "free" trading using the NinjaTrader platform. Meanwhile MultiCharts .NET was announced, with similar pricing to the standard MultiCharts platform. If you're still following the saga it looks like the new MultiCharts .NET 8.5 Starter Edition is the uprated C# equivalent of MultiCharts Discretionary Trader, which was free of charge but did not allow automated trading, and is now conspicuous only by its absence from MultiCharts web site.
The first thing to note is that even though it's free of charge there are both 32 bit and 64 bit versions of MultiCharts .NET SE available. As MultiCharts point out:
If you have a 32-bit Windows, MultiCharts can only use up to 2 GB of RAM. If you have 64-bit Windows, MultiCharts can use all RAM for maximum performance.
On firing up the installer it discovered I already had Microsoft .NET Framework versions 3.5 and 4.0 on my hard drive, and so it only installed the new platform itself. As it did that the installation small print took the trouble to point out to me that you can:
Get started right away with FREE 30 days of real-time futures, index and FX data (no credit card required) – just fill out a simple form when you start the program. All necessary features to be a successful trader are at your fingertips!
Having finally got the platform installed I started it up to discover that my screen suddenly looked like this:
MultiCharts .NET SE initial sign on screen
It rather looks as though MultiCharts are hoping to earn a crust from the product courtesy of DQN's IQFeed doesn't it? Despite that enticing offer I couldn't help but notice that MC SE appears to support Interactive Brokers out of the box. Since I have an account with IB I selected the "I have a data feed subscription" option and clicked "Next", which led me here:
MultiCharts .NET SE Interactive Brokers Getting Started Wizard
At that point in proceedings the Wizard's magic deserted it, since I actually run Interactive Brokers' IB Gateway on a separate server. To try and keep MultiCharts SE happy I closed that down and started up IB's Trader Workstation on the same machine as my MCSE installation. Since Ray the Random Robot and his offspring have a particular penchant for cable, I then looked up GBP and selected GBP.USD on the IDEALPRO "exchange":
Ray Robot II loves the Great British Pound!
Since a lot of "beginner traders" like to start out on the S&P e-mini futures I selected them on Ray's behalf too:
Ray thought he'd try out the June 2013 ES futures contract on MCSE also
Having selected Ray's two favourite instruments I clicked the "Finish" button, but MultiCharts SE refused to finish! It kept popping up the IB symbol search window, so eventually I clicked "Cancel" instead, and then manually connected to Interactive Brokers. However I still couldn't seem to open up a chart or a DoM for either cable or the e-minis. As luck would have it I am familiar with the innermost workings of MultiCharts so next I fired up the MultiCharts .NET QuoteManager, which revealed this to me:
MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager reveals some Interactive Brokers connection issues
So there you have our initial impressions of MultiCharts .NET SE. It looks like there are one or two teething troubles that MultiCharts still need to sort out, if you don't particularly want to pay for IQFeed at least. In case it's of some help to somebody, here's what QuoteManager looks like when it is configured correctly:
MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager correctly connected to Interactive Brokers
Filed under Trading Platforms by
I received a message in my inbox this morning advising me that:
FXCM Proposes Acquisition of Gain Capital
According to the accompanying press release FXCM sent a letter to the members of GAIN's Board of Directors last night:
To inform them of FXCM's desire to reach agreement on a transaction that would create the industry leader in online FX trading.
According to FXCM CEO Drew Niv:
FXCM believes that the substantial potential operating and capital synergies between the two companies would result in an accretive deal with a strong growth profile and improved economies of scale. Additionally, FXCM believes customers of both FXCM and Gain will greatly benefit from the expected improvement of financial strength and stability of the combined entity.
This proposed merger is the highest priority for FXCM, and we hope that Gain is as excited as we are about the potential a combined company could have.
It remains to be seen how excited GAIN Capital's shareholders are about the proposed deal, but a comparison between the two companies stock price charts tells a large part of the story. Here is a NinjaTrader chart combining the two:
FXCM versus GAIN weekly chart before the NYSE open on April 9th 2013
As you can see, Gain's shareholders can't be too happy about the post IPO performance of their investment which is now down to around half the IPO price of $9.00 per share. On the other hand investors in FXCM are almost back to where they started at $14.00 per share. According to FXCM once again:
The proposed transaction would give Gain shareholders 0.3996 shares of FXCM Class A common stock for each share of Gain common stock. Based on FXCM's closing price of $13.39 on Monday, April 8, 2013, this results in an offer price of $5.35 per share of Gain common stock, which in aggregate would represent $210.4 million in total value. This price represents a 25% premium to Gain's closing share price on April 8, 2013. FXCM is also prepared to offer up to $50 million in cash consideration in lieu of FXCM shares.
FXCM are holding a conference call at 8:15 a.m. (EST) this morning to reinforce their message. Do you suppose GAIN's shareholders will find the bait sufficiently tempting?
Filed under Brokers by
It has recently been pointed out to me by a sharp eyed reader of the Trading Gurus home page that Ray the Random Robot has been flatlining for quite a while now. Here's how his equity curve looks at this precise moment in time, courtesy of myfxbook:
Ray the Random Robot wipes himself out
Regular readers will remember that Ray suffered a near death experience in the Autumn of 2011. On that occasion he somehow survived by the skin of his shiny metal teeth, and lived to trade another day. A year later he finally did the job properly and killed himself off in true kamikaze style, as you can see in all too graphic detail above!
Now here's something to ponder. Ray is a robot of very little brain. As his freely available source code reveals he took essentially random entries. Despite that he somehow managed to survive for two years taking 6325 trades and making somewhere between 4% and 5% per month as a consequence. That is rather longer than some commercial "robots" one might mention. Buru Trader for example.
Fortunately long before his sad but predictable demise Ray fathered a son. Perhaps prophetically Ray Robot II was born over Halloween 2011, and his spread betting equity curve has now replaced his father's to the left of this article. Note that he also managed to maintain an average of around 4% per month for a while, but then "the markets changed"!
Whatever else you may do, please learn from Ray's heroic sacrifice, as his only son has done. Don't do stupid stuff (DDSS for short). Don't use Martingale money management (MMM for short) or any of it's close cousins in your auto-trading endeavours. If you see a "robot" with an equity curve that looks like Ray senior's (before his first big "blip" that is) run away as fast as you can. It will destroy your account, sooner or later.
Filed under Trading Systems by
GAIN Capital have just announced in a press release that:
It has reached an agreement to acquire the US-based retail forex business of GFT Forex ("GFT"), pending regulatory approval. Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed.
GAIN Capital Group LLC, the US regulated entity of GAIN Capital Holdings, Inc., agreed to acquire the retail customer accounts currently held at GFT's US regulated subsidiary. The transfer of GFT's US-based customers is scheduled for Friday, December 7, 2012, after the close of trading.
At very short notice GFT's US retail FX customers will find on Sunday that they have already joined a long queue of other US retail forex traders that have been forced by circumstances outside their control to become FOREX.com customers instead. Putting a brave face on it GFT's chairman Gary Tilkin said that :
GFT is pleased to transfer our US-based retail forex accounts to GAIN Capital. GAIN is one of our industry's oldest and most respected companies and we're confident that our accounts will receive the same high level of service and trading execution that they've experienced with GFT.
GAIN Capital's CEO Glenn Stevens was no doubt even more pleased when he said that:
We are pleased to be in a position to offer GFT's US-based retail customers the ability to continue trading forex with an established US regulated firm, with no interruption in service. We will work closely with the team at GFT to ensure a smooth transition of their customer's accounts and assets to our retail division, FOREX.com.
GFT are of course much more than just a US retail forex broker. As one of their customers here in the UK I gave them a call this morning. I was assured that there will be no change whatsoever for UK retail clients of GFT, and that the company is simply focussing on their institutional business in the United States from now on. Nonetheless one can't help but speculate about whether GFT's US futures trading clients might just be wondering what all the fuss is about at this juncture?
This afternoon (UK time) I received some additional comments from GFT's office in Grand Rapids, Michigan. It reads as follows:
While the markets remain challenging, GFT is well capitalized. GFT has earned a stellar regulatory record operating in more than 100 countries with an unwavering commitment to operating, above all with integrity. The decision to stop offering retail forex in the United States was based on an evaluation of the potential return on capital within that market. We're pleased with the progress to date in transferring our US based clients to other providers. Our accounts know that customer service is available 24 hours a day 7 days a week if there are any questions or concerns. It's very much business as usual at GFT in all the other regions where we compete and we look forward to growing our business and serving the needs of traders at the highest level.
Filed under Brokers by
We've made some changes to the Trading Gurus Community forum. Here's a brief explanation of why.
Spambots much in evidence on our forum on November 23rd 2012
At present (assuming the technology works as advertised!) there should be no changes for anyone who has contributed to the forum by making at least one post. Currently we are accepting no new registrations, and those who have registered but not contributed at least one (non spam!) post will have much restricted functionality.
If you are an existing poster, you may wish to contribute to this thread, where discussion about the way forward is currently taking place. Personally I'm thinking in terms of a modest paywall, but I'm open to persuasion!
Filed under Trading Education by
WorldSpreads went down the tubes in the middle of March, taking some supposedly segregated customer funds with it. Now however those long suffering customers are finally starting to get at least some of their money back, albeit from The Financial Services Compensation Scheme rather than from the administrators of WorldSpreads. According to WorldSpreads customer Rav Shah:
I would like to confirm that i have received payouts from FSCS. At least stage 1 has been completed.
However several commentators on Rav's blog say they are still waiting.
Unfortunately that also applies to customers of MF Global, which went down the tubes back in November 2011, taking much larger quantities of supposedly segregated customer funds with it. In their six month "progress" report at the end of May, special administrators KPMG said that:
In excess of 100 professionals from KPMG have worked closely with over 700 MF Global staff on the MF Global UK special administration over the past six months. We are making headway in ensuring funds are returned: working with the Financial Services Compensation Scheme has seen 250 clients receive compensation payments to date and a further 400 will be paid imminently; around 850 clients have received $90m in our first interim client money distribution and a draft distribution plan for client assets will be presented to court next month.
According to a recent press release Richard Heis, joint special administrator of MF Global UK, said that:
Today’s court hearing represents an important milestone in returning some £54m of agreed client assets; largely comprising shareholdings plus some physically held securities and LME commodities and warrants. The MF Global UK asset distribution plan sets a precedent as it is the first use of such a plan under the special administration rules. We will be sending letters to clients with agreed asset claims over the coming days to explain and agree the final steps in returning their assets. The return of client assets will commence from 1st August.
Mr. Heis added that:
It is important to note that there is still over £1bn of alleged asset claims, principally where it is claimed that MF Global UK held the assets on behalf of clients but the company’s records show that the assets were transferred to MF Global UK under absolute title transfer. The single largest alleged client asset claimant is MF Global Inc., which has submitted a claim for the return of $639m of US Treasury Bills and other assets. We have issued court proceedings to seek determination of the validity of the claim; the trial is scheduled for April 2013.
Even more unfortunately a lot more waiting to get their own money back would seem to be in store for a lot of people.
Filed under Blog, Regulation by
The National Futures Association issued a press release yesterday which stated that it:
Has taken an emergency enforcement action against Peregrine Financial Group, Inc. (PFG), an NFA Member futures commission merchant (FCM) and Peregrine Asset Management, Inc. (PAM), an NFA Member commodity trading advisor (CTA) and commodity pool operator (CPO) located in Chicago, Illinois.
Full details of the Member Responsibility Action (MRA) against PFG have also been made available, in which the NFA says:
Is deemed necessary to protect customers because PFG has failed to demonstrate it meets the capital requirements of NFA Financial Requirements section 1 [and 4]. Additionally it appears that PFG does not have sufficient assets to meet its obligations to its customers.
According to the BBC this morning:
Chairman Russell Wasendorf Sr was found in his car near its Iowa headquarters, following attempted suicide. The National Futures Association said it had received information suggesting that Mr Wasendorf may have falsified bank records and that it only had about $5m (£3.2m) of the $225m it had claimed to have in a deposit account.
This all sounds to me horribly like MF Global and WorldSpreads all over again. I guess such things always come in threes?
Filed under Regulation by
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