1

MultiCharts have just announced on their blog that they have introduced what they describe as:

The BEST currently available free trading software.

The MultiCharts hype machine goes on to say that:

MultiCharts 8.5 Starter Edition is a FREE version of our award-winning trading platform. Starter Edition was designed for beginner traders to ease the burden of buying expensive software when you are just starting out. MultiCharts .NET Starter Edition offers all features of MultiCharts .NET, including LIVE trading capabilities (chart, DOM, drag-and-drop strategies and fully automated), best charting in the industry, advanced strategy development capabilities in C# and Visual Basic, integration with Visual Studio, high-precision tick-by-tick strategy and portfolio backtesting, extremely fast optimization and more.

They then go on to mention the tiny little fly in the trading ointment:

You can [only] trade up to two (2) symbols at a time.

Here at the Trading Gurus we take all such claims with a large pinch of salt until we've performed our own tests. Here are our hasty initial impressions.

Many moons ago now FXCM introduced the Strategy Trader platform, which looked to us a lot like a "white label" version of the venerable MultiCharts platform, but with strategy programming using the C# language rather than the PowerLanguage flavour of TradeStation's EasyLanguage. More recently FXCM announced that they were dropping support for Strategy Trader whilst subsequently introducing "free" trading using the NinjaTrader platform. Meanwhile MultiCharts .NET was announced, with similar pricing to the standard MultiCharts platform. If you're still following the saga it looks like the new MultiCharts .NET 8.5 Starter Edition is the uprated C# equivalent of MultiCharts Discretionary Trader, which was free of charge but did not allow automated trading, and is now conspicuous only by its absence from MultiCharts web site.

The first thing to note is that even though it's free of charge there are both 32 bit and 64 bit versions of MultiCharts .NET SE available. As MultiCharts point out:

If you have a 32-bit Windows, MultiCharts can only use up to 2 GB of RAM. If you have 64-bit Windows, MultiCharts can use all RAM for maximum performance.

On firing up the installer it discovered I already had Microsoft .NET Framework versions 3.5 and 4.0 on my hard drive, and so it only installed the new platform itself. As it did that the installation small print took the trouble to point out to me that you can:

Get started right away with FREE 30 days of real-time futures, index and FX data (no credit card required) – just fill out a simple form when you start the program. All necessary features to be a successful trader are at your fingertips!

Having finally got the platform installed I started it up to discover that my screen suddenly looked like this:

MultiCharts .NET SE initial sign on screen

MultiCharts .NET SE initial sign on screen

It rather looks as though MultiCharts are hoping to earn a crust from the product courtesy of DQN's IQFeed doesn't it? Despite that enticing offer I couldn't help but notice that MC SE appears to support Interactive Brokers out of the box. Since I have an account with IB I selected the "I have a data feed subscription" option and clicked "Next", which led me here:

MultiCharts .NET SE Interactive Brokers Getting Started Wizard

MultiCharts .NET SE Interactive Brokers Getting Started Wizard

At that point in proceedings the Wizard's magic deserted it, since I actually run Interactive Brokers' IB Gateway on a separate server. To try and keep MultiCharts SE happy I closed that down and started up IB's Trader Workstation on the same machine as my MCSE installation. Since Ray the Random Robot and his offspring have a particular penchant for cable, I then looked up GBP and selected GBP.USD on the IDEALPRO "exchange":

Ray Robot II loves the Great British Pound!

Ray Robot II loves the Great British Pound!

Since a lot of "beginner traders" like to start out on the S&P e-mini futures I selected them on Ray's behalf too:

Ray thought he'd try out the June 2013 ES futures contract on MCSE also

Ray thought he'd try out the June 2013 ES futures contract on MCSE also

Having selected Ray's two favourite instruments I clicked the "Finish" button, but MultiCharts SE refused to finish! It kept popping up the IB symbol search window, so eventually I clicked "Cancel" instead, and then manually connected to Interactive Brokers. However I still couldn't seem to open up a chart or a DoM for either cable or the e-minis. As luck would have it I am familiar with the innermost workings of MultiCharts so next I fired up the MultiCharts .NET QuoteManager, which revealed this to me:

MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager reveals some Interactive Brokers connection issues

MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager reveals some Interactive Brokers connection issues

So there you have our initial impressions of MultiCharts .NET SE. It looks like there are one or two teething troubles that MultiCharts still need to sort out, if you don't particularly want to pay for IQFeed at least. In case it's of some help to somebody, here's what QuoteManager looks like when it is configured correctly:

MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager correctly connected to Interactive Brokers

MultiCharts .NET SE QuoteManager correctly connected to Interactive Brokers

Filed under Trading Platforms by  #

1

I received a message in my inbox this morning advising me that:

FXCM Proposes Acquisition of Gain Capital

According to the accompanying press release FXCM sent a letter to the members of GAIN's Board of Directors last night:

To inform them of FXCM's desire to reach agreement on a transaction that would create the industry leader in online FX trading.

According to FXCM CEO Drew Niv:

FXCM believes that the substantial potential operating and capital synergies between the two companies would result in an accretive deal with a strong growth profile and improved economies of scale. Additionally, FXCM believes customers of both FXCM and Gain will greatly benefit from the expected improvement of financial strength and stability of the combined entity.

This proposed merger is the highest priority for FXCM, and we hope that Gain is as excited as we are about the potential a combined company could have.

It remains to be seen how excited GAIN Capital's shareholders are about the proposed deal, but a comparison between the two companies stock price charts tells a large part of the story. Here is a NinjaTrader chart combining the two:

FXCM versus GAIN weekly chart on April 9th 2013

FXCM versus GAIN weekly chart before the NYSE open on April 9th 2013

As you can see, Gain's shareholders can't be too happy about the post IPO performance of their investment which is now down to around half the IPO price of $9.00 per share. On the other hand investors in FXCM are almost back to where they started at $14.00 per share. According to FXCM once again:

The proposed transaction would give Gain shareholders 0.3996 shares of FXCM Class A common stock for each share of Gain common stock. Based on FXCM's closing price of $13.39 on Monday, April 8, 2013, this results in an offer price of $5.35 per share of Gain common stock, which in aggregate would represent $210.4 million in total value. This price represents a 25% premium to Gain's closing share price on April 8, 2013. FXCM is also prepared to offer up to $50 million in cash consideration in lieu of FXCM shares.

FXCM are holding a conference call at 8:15 a.m. (EST) this morning to reinforce their message. Do you suppose GAIN's shareholders will find the bait sufficiently tempting?

Filed under Brokers by  #

6

It has recently been pointed out to me by a sharp eyed reader of the Trading Gurus home page that Ray the Random Robot has been flatlining for quite a while now. Here's how his equity curve looks at this precise moment in time, courtesy of myfxbook:

Ray the Random Robot wipes himself out

Ray the Random Robot wipes himself out

Regular readers will remember that Ray suffered a near death experience in the Autumn of 2011.  On that occasion he somehow survived by the skin of his shiny metal teeth, and lived to trade another day. A year later he finally did the job properly and killed himself off in true kamikaze style, as you can see in all too graphic detail above!

Now here's something to ponder. Ray is a robot of very little brain. As his freely available source code reveals he took essentially random entries. Despite that he somehow managed to survive for two years taking 6325 trades and making somewhere between 4% and 5% per month as a consequence. That is rather longer than some commercial "robots" one might mention. Buru Trader for example.

Fortunately long before his sad but predictable demise Ray fathered a son. Perhaps prophetically Ray Robot II was born over Halloween 2011, and his spread betting equity curve has now replaced his father's to the left of this article. Note that he also managed to maintain an average of around 4% per month for a while, but then "the markets changed"!

Whatever else you may do, please learn from Ray's heroic sacrifice, as his only son has done. Don't do stupid stuff (DDSS for short). Don't use Martingale money management (MMM for short) or any of it's close cousins in your auto-trading endeavours. If you see a "robot" with an equity curve that looks like Ray senior's (before his first big "blip" that is) run away as fast as you can. It will destroy your account, sooner or later.

Filed under Trading Systems by  #

2

GAIN Capital have just announced in a press release that:

It has reached an agreement to acquire the US-based retail forex business of GFT Forex ("GFT"), pending regulatory approval.  Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed.

GAIN Capital Group LLC, the US regulated entity of GAIN Capital Holdings, Inc., agreed to acquire the retail customer accounts currently held at GFT's US regulated subsidiary.   The transfer of GFT's US-based customers is scheduled for Friday, December 7, 2012, after the close of trading.

At very short notice GFT's US retail FX customers will find on Sunday that they have already joined a long queue of other US retail forex traders that have been forced by circumstances outside their control to become FOREX.com customers instead. Putting a brave face on it GFT's chairman Gary Tilkin said that :

GFT is pleased to transfer our US-based retail forex accounts to GAIN Capital.  GAIN is one of our industry's oldest and most respected companies and we're confident that our accounts will receive the same high level of service and trading execution that they've experienced with GFT.

GAIN Capital's CEO Glenn Stevens was no doubt even more pleased when he said that:

We are pleased to be in a position to offer GFT's US-based retail customers the ability to continue trading forex with an established US regulated firm, with no interruption in service. We will work closely with the team at GFT to ensure a smooth transition of their customer's accounts and assets to our retail division, FOREX.com.

GFT are of course much more than just a US retail forex broker. As one of their customers here in the UK I gave them a call this morning. I was assured that there will be no change whatsoever for UK retail clients of GFT, and that the company is simply focussing on their institutional business in the United States from now on. Nonetheless one can't help but speculate about whether GFT's US futures trading clients might just be wondering what all the fuss is about at this juncture?

This afternoon (UK time) I received some additional comments from GFT's  office in Grand Rapids, Michigan. It reads as follows:

While the markets remain challenging, GFT is well capitalized.  GFT has earned a stellar regulatory record operating in more than 100 countries with an unwavering commitment to operating, above all with integrity. The decision to stop offering retail forex in the United States was based on an evaluation of the potential return on capital within that market.  We're pleased with the progress to date in transferring our US based clients to other providers.  Our accounts know that customer service is available 24 hours a day 7 days a week if there are any questions or concerns.  It's very much business as usual at GFT in all the other regions where we compete and we look forward to growing our business and serving the needs of traders at the highest level.

Filed under Brokers by  #

2

We've made some changes to the Trading Gurus Community forum. Here's a brief explanation of why.

Spambots much in evidence on our forum on November 23rd 2012

Spambots much in evidence on our forum on November 23rd 2012

At present (assuming the technology works as advertised!) there should be no changes for anyone who has contributed to the forum by making at least one post. Currently we are accepting no new registrations, and those who have registered but not contributed at least one (non spam!) post will have much restricted functionality.

If you are an existing poster, you may wish to contribute to this thread, where discussion about the way forward is currently taking place. Personally I'm thinking in terms of a modest paywall, but I'm open to persuasion!

Filed under Trading Education by  #

0

WorldSpreads went down the tubes in the middle of March, taking some supposedly segregated customer funds with it.  Now however those long suffering customers are finally starting to get at least some of their money back, albeit from The Financial Services Compensation Scheme rather than from the administrators of WorldSpreads. According to WorldSpreads customer Rav Shah:

I would like to confirm that i have received payouts from FSCS.  At least stage 1 has been completed.

However several commentators on Rav's blog say they are still waiting.

Unfortunately that also applies to customers of MF Global, which went down the tubes back in November 2011, taking much larger quantities of supposedly segregated customer funds with it. In their six month "progress" report at the end of May, special administrators KPMG said that:

In excess of 100 professionals from KPMG have worked closely with over 700 MF Global staff on the MF Global UK special administration over the past six months. We are making headway in ensuring funds are returned: working with the Financial Services Compensation Scheme has seen 250 clients receive compensation payments to date and a further 400 will be paid imminently; around 850 clients have received $90m in our first interim client money distribution and a draft distribution plan for client assets will be presented to court next month.

According to a recent  press release Richard Heis, joint special administrator of MF Global UK, said that:

Today’s court hearing represents an important milestone in returning some £54m of agreed client assets; largely comprising shareholdings plus some physically held securities and LME commodities and warrants. The MF Global UK asset distribution plan sets a precedent as it is the first use of such a plan under the special administration rules. We will be sending letters to clients with agreed asset claims over the coming days to explain and agree the final steps in returning their assets. The return of client assets will commence from 1st August.

Mr. Heis added that:

It is important to note that there is still over £1bn of alleged asset claims, principally where it is claimed that MF Global UK held the assets on behalf of clients but the company’s records show that the assets were transferred to MF Global UK under absolute title transfer. The single largest alleged client asset claimant is MF Global Inc., which has submitted a claim for the return of $639m of US Treasury Bills and other assets. We have issued court proceedings to seek determination of the validity of the claim; the trial is scheduled for April 2013.

Even more unfortunately a lot more waiting to get their own money back would seem to be in store for a lot of people.

Filed under Blog, Regulation by  #

1

The National Futures Association issued a press release yesterday which stated that it:

Has taken an emergency enforcement action against Peregrine Financial Group, Inc. (PFG), an NFA Member futures commission merchant (FCM) and Peregrine Asset Management, Inc. (PAM), an NFA Member commodity trading advisor (CTA) and commodity pool operator (CPO) located in Chicago, Illinois.

Full details of the Member Responsibility Action (MRA) against PFG have also been made available, in which the NFA says:

Is deemed necessary to protect customers because PFG has failed to demonstrate it meets the capital requirements of NFA Financial Requirements section 1 [and 4]. Additionally it appears that PFG does not have sufficient assets to meet its obligations to its customers.

According to the BBC this morning:

Chairman Russell Wasendorf Sr was found in his car near its Iowa headquarters, following attempted suicide. The National Futures Association said it had received information suggesting that Mr Wasendorf may have falsified bank records and that it only had about $5m (£3.2m) of the $225m it had claimed to have in a deposit account.

This all sounds to me horribly like MF Global and WorldSpreads all over again. I guess such things always come in threes?

Filed under Regulation by  #

0

Betfair Group PLC made an announcement today via the London Stock Exchange's Regulatory News Service revealing their preliminary results for the year to April 30th 2012. They headlined with the opinion that:

A year of building momentum leaves us well placed for future growth

Long suffering shareholders will be looking forward to that growth, because this is how Betfair shares have fared since the IPO back in October 2010:

Betfair weekly chart since their IPO

Betfair weekly chart since their IPO

As you can see, eager buyers of the IPO suffered a sudden shock and the Betfair share price is currently languishing at around half the early peak of just under £16.00. As Betfair point out in the announcement:

Betfair owns LMAX, which operates a financial trading platform which has evolved from Betfair's exchange platform technology.

The LMAX multilateral trading facility was also launched back in October 2010, and has endured an even rockier ride than their parent company.  Here at the Trading Gurus we've been following LMAX very closely since the beginning, but even after 18 months only a small proportion of our trading volume takes place on their MTF.  The main reason for that is because we have had some difficulty in finding sufficient depth of liquidity available when we needed it.  Matters have been improving recently though, and perhaps these results reveal at least part of the reason?

Following a change of management in April 2011, LMAX has successfully transitioned towards a sales-led distribution strategy with an increased focus on liquid foreign exchange and commodity products. The business has built an experienced sales team and is establishing a wide international reach. The new strategy has delivered much improved results in FY12 and LMAX has outperformed the business plan developed by the new team.

Customer traction has improved throughout the year, leading to strong volume growth in FY12. In the year LMAX matched $85bn of foreign exchange volume (FY11: $9bn), delivering an annualised run-rate of c.$300bn in April 2012. The number of trades on the platform has increased from 4,000 a month to 300,000 a month over the period. LMAX now ranks in the top 30 retail FX providers globally and has firmly established proof of concept for its exchange technology in this market. The business is now focused on taking its key messages of speed, price and reliability to a wider audience of customers to build further volume flows and liquidity on the platform.

Moving on to the "key message" of the LMAX bottom line, the report lays out the numbers:

Overall LMAX revenue increased by 14% to £4.0m (FY11: £3.5m) driven by strong growth from the LMAX platform. Revenue from the platform increased from £0.1m to £1.0m, with over 70% of this delivered in the final quarter. Tradefair, our white label financial spread betting business, continues to contribute the majority of overall LMAX revenues, although revenue in this business declined to £3.0m (FY11: £3.4m) due to reduced levels of financial market volatility.

LMAX generated an EBITDA loss of £6.0m (FY11: £5.8m) reflecting continued investment in the business and expansion of its sales capability.

A loss of £6m on revenue of £4m, only £1m of which derives from the MTF itself suggests the new team at LMAX still have a lot of work to do! I asked a member of the LMAX team if they had anything to add regarding how they intended to climb the rest of the mountain that still lies before them. This was their itemised response:

  • LMAX was launched in glare of the Betfair IPO
  • We made mistakes
  • We've outperformed the new business plan
  • We have competitive pricing
  • It's clear that there is significant quarter on quarter volume growth.
  • We've established proof of concept
  • The challenge now is getting sufficient volume to become profitable

Here at the Trading Gurus we'll now be doing our own little bit to help increase volume through the LMAX MTF over the quarters to come. We trust that as a result both of us will be highly profitable in the very near future!

Filed under Brokers by  #

0

According to the Financial Services Authority website they have:

Today fined Barclays Bank Plc (Barclays) £59.5 million for misconduct relating to the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and the Euro Interbank Offered Rate (EURIBOR). This is the largest fine ever imposed by the FSA.

Not only that, but also according to a United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission press release (and using that ever more familar form of words that implies nobody is actually responsible) they have:

Issued an Order today filing and settling charges against Barclays PLC, Barclays Bank PLC (Barclays Bank) and Barclays Capital Inc. (Barclays Capital) (collectively Barclays or the Bank). The Order finds that Barclays attempted to manipulate and made false reports concerning two global benchmark interest rates, LIBOR and Euribor, on numerous occasions and sometimes on a daily basis over a four-year period, commencing as early as 2005.

Like the FSA, the CFTC have also hit Barclays where it hurts (a little):

The CFTC Order requires Barclays to pay a $200 million civil monetary penalty, cease and desist from further violations as charged, and take specified steps, such as making the determinations of benchmark submissions transaction-focused (as set forth in the Order), to ensure the integrity and reliability of its LIBOR and Euribor submissions and improve related internal controls.

According to the Daily Telegraph this afternoon:

The "thick-skinned" Bob Diamond is unlikely to quit over the LIBOR scandal, but that the bank's shareholders may well end up forcing him out.

This appears to imply that unlike the CFTC, the Barclays shareholders feel Bob is in fact guilty of at least a minor indiscretion? We'll keep you posted on what if anything eventually gets pinned on Bob, and by whom.

Filed under Regulation by  #

3

Here at the Trading Gurus we often get asked to write MetaTrader 4 "robots". When asked "how much" we quote a random large number. We then add the rider "If you don't mind making your robot open source and letting us publish it on our community forum we'll do the job pro bono".  Nobody has ever taken us up on either of our generous offers. Until now that is!

The man who has broken the mould is called Shing Tat Chung, who is currently a student of design at the Royal College of Art in London.  For his part he gave us a specification for a "superstitious robot", which we ultimately agreed should be christened "Sid".  For our part we delivered an MQL4 expert advisor, which you can now download from the "Sid the Superstitious Robot" thread on the Trading Gurus community forum.

Shing has not only designed Sid's superstitious trading algorithm, but also the "Superstitious Fund" that Sid is currently managing as well. Sid even has a "Big Board" of his very own, also designed and built by Shing. As you can see, it displays in real-time the current value of the Superstitious Fund plus some additional information:

The Superstitious Fund's live performance board. (Image by Diego Trujillo)

The Superstitious Fund's live performance board. (Image by Diego Trujillo)

If you would like to see Sid and his Big Board "in the flesh" they are being exhibited at Testbed 1 on the RCA's Battersea campus for the next few days.  Sid will continue to manage the Superstitious Fund until June 1st 2013.

Any questions? Here's Sid's very own thread once again!

Last but not necessarily least, and just in case this provides a straightforward answer to your question:

Sid is sponsored by Trading-Gurus.com and supported by Microsoft Research, UK.

Filed under Trading Systems by  #