It's now three month's since "Forex MegaDroid landed on the Forex industry like a BOMB". The time has come to try and tie together all the backtesting, forward testing and live testing, and to decide whether to keep the Droid running on our virtual private server for a while longer. Unfortunately this is not an easy task!
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Here are our first set of Forex MegaDroid live test results, which cover the month of June 2009. Here at the Trading Gurus we recommend forward testing any new forex trading system on a demo account for at least three months before even thinking of trying it using real money on a live account. However our loyal readers have been asking to see some live results. After 2 months testing on a demo account with no major disasters for the MegaDroid we decided to start live testing using a modest initial deposit of $500. On an account that supports micro-lots this is sufficiently large to allow the Droid's money management system to start trading with more than the bare minimum position size. It is also a reasonable sum of money for someone new to forex trading to be prepared to lose. As you have hopefully realised by now, newcomers to forex trading do have an unfortunate tendency to lose money.
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As our regular readers will know we were not awfully impressed with the Forex Espionage MetaTrader robot (or should that be robots?). Nevertheless immediately after I bought his latest expert advisor(s) Steven Lee Jones was kind enough to make me a "One Time Offer" to buy his Forex Espionage Advanced System for a mere $77. Unable to resist any sort of an offer to buy anything related to forex trading, let alone one just about to expire, I parted with my credit card number for a second time.
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Another new MetaTrader 4 expert advisor launched last week. Since it's name is "Forex Espionage" I was astonished at the lack of secrecy surrounding this event. Even I noticed all the emails accumulating in my spam folder. Normally when we here at the Trading Gurus review a new trading system we perform lots of backtests, forward test on a demo account for a few months, then forward test some more on a live account before delivering our final verdict. In the case of the latest forex "robot" let loose on unsuspecting trading accounts around the world all that won't be necessary. Here is our considered Forex Espionage Review. It Sucks!
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Here at the Trading Gurus we've been testing our three example MetaTrader expert advisors with another month's worth of data. Things are still looking good for our dumber than dumb forex robots!
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Here are our Forex MegaDroid backtest results for May. The distinction may not be obvious, and may even seem irrelevant, but nonetheless although these are backtest results, the data used for the backtest was acquired on a demo account moving forward in time and not from a downloaded MetaTrader history. This test was performed using exactly the same input settings as in our MegaDroid Backtest Results for April.
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I telephoned FXCM again about my latest problem with an expert advisor that was unable to place any orders. I eventually managed to speak to a very helpful lady with an American accent who is a MetaTrader specialist in their sales department. She'd obviously been asked this question before, and here is my understanding of her explanation.
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Whilst browsing around the Boston Technologies website idly looking for a technical support number to call I noticed that they were offering a "free, very promising, MetaTrader 4 Expert Advisor".
I know that there's no such thing as a free lunch, but in all the circumstances I couldn't resist the temptation to download it and do some backtesting. The first thing I noticed was that unlike us here at the Trading Gurus they don't supply the source code for their EA, only the executable version. That means you have to take their word for it when they explain that:
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Somewhat later than anticipated after my recent trials and tribulations, here are our Forex MegaDroid backtest results for April. This test was performed using version 1.11 of the robot, since the original version now refuses to run backtests. This test used the default input settings, with the following exceptions, mainly required because the test used Alpari UK as the MetaTrader broker, and they support micro-lots and 5 decimal places.
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I don't know about you, but when I use a forex trading robot I expect to be able to upload it to my server, set it running, then wait for it to start trading. Beyond that, I expect it to keep on trading whatever accidents might befall it, including recovering gracefully after losing its connection to the internet for a while, or restarting after an unanticipated server reboot. It seems that in the case of Forex MegaDroid this was far too much to expect.
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