Forex Trading Systems

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A couple of months ago FXCM told us that they were working on educational materials to explain the changes involved in complying with the new NFA "hedging" and FIFO regulations to their customers. Here is one of FXCM's new educational videos explaining to their customers how to manage risk in this brave new world of forex orders without built in stops. To summarise, FXCM are introducing a new type of order called "One Cancels the Other" or OCO for short, which will already be familiar to many futures traders.

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If you recall we didn't have much luck comparing the original MetaTrader version of FapTurbo with FapTurbo Evolution in forward testing. We have managed to do rather better with our backtesting. One of the reasons backtesting FapTurbo Evolution in Dukascopy's JForex platform takes so long, if you follow the instructions in the Evolution manual at least, is that it uses tick data rather than one minute bars like MT4.  This makes the results more accurate, but also much more time consuming to obtain.  Here's the equity curve we obtained for the period starting on 5th July trading the EUR/GBP pair using the default input settings:

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In all the excitement yesterday I forgot to mention that I also bought a copy of the unevolved version of the FapTurbo MetaTrader robot. I thought it would be instructional to compare its performance alongside the far more expensive FapTurbo Evolution, to discover how much better the new "serious robotic system" compared to the decrepit old "MetaTrader child's play" model.

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Woe is me! It looks like I made a big mistake earlier today when I foolishly tried to save some money by buying FapTurbo Evolution using my own ClickBank hoplink. I really wish I'd read all those emails from the Forex MegaDroid team properly. I got another email from Albert and John this afternoon, and I did read it carefully. I thought it was going to be a reply to my support ticket about memory apparently leaking from their Droid, but I was mistaken.

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As our regular readers will know we've been having a few problems getting consistent results from our Forex MegaDroid backtests.  We've also had a major problem with our forward tests.  The robot hasn't traded for weeks!  However last night the Droid leapt back into action with avengeance! Please bear with us while we explain what our various virtual private servers discovered for us while we slept.

More on The Forex MegaDroid Forward Testing Fantasia – Variation 1

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An essential part of evaluating any trading system, whether you developed it yourself or bought it over the internet, is to discover how robust your chosen system is to changes in the system input parameters. Unfortunately the developers of Forex MegaDroid don't give their users the ability to alter the parameters that control their robot's "artificial intelligence". We assume there must be a few hidden somewhere inside the Droid's electronic brain, but there is no way for us to twiddle them with our virtual screwdriver. We assume that Albert and John spent many months tuning their creation to perfection. They have, however, made it very difficult for us to try and work out if they have over-optimised their robot's mega-mind. Maybe it will suffer a virtual epileptic fit one day soon? We have no way of knowing.

More on The Forex MegaDroid Backtesting Blues – Track 3

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It's now three month's since "Forex MegaDroid landed on the Forex industry like a BOMB". The time has come to try and tie together all the backtesting, forward testing and live testing, and to decide whether to keep the Droid running on our virtual private server for a while longer. Unfortunately this is not an easy task!

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Here are our first set of Forex MegaDroid live test results, which cover the month of June 2009. Here at the Trading Gurus we recommend forward testing any new forex trading system on a demo account for at least three months before even thinking of trying it using real money on a live account. However our loyal readers have been asking to see some live results. After 2 months testing on a demo account with no major disasters for the MegaDroid we decided to start live testing using a modest initial deposit of $500. On an account that supports micro-lots this is sufficiently large to allow the Droid's money management system to start trading with more than the bare minimum position size. It is also a reasonable sum of money for someone new to forex trading to be prepared to lose. As you have hopefully realised by now, newcomers to forex trading do have an unfortunate tendency to lose money.

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I logged into our virtual private server this morning, excited at the prospect of writing about our first month's live Forex MegaDroid testing using real money. That will now have to wait for a while, because I discovered something even more interesting. The Forex MegaDroid robot had completely stopped working, and not for the first time!

More on Forex MegaDroid Grinds to a Halt – Again!

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We've just added a new installment to our course on how to build your very own forex trading system. This one is something of a history lesson about the legendary Turtle Traders.

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