In our previous live test results for June and July the Forex MegaDroid MetaTrader 4 expert advisor did at least manage to make a profit. Sadly the "robot" seems to have lost it's way over the summer holiday season. In our live account at Alpari UK it lost money. In percentage terms it lost a lot of money!
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The Forex MegaDroid team seemed to think that the NFA's new FIFO regulations were going to cause their creation some problems. On July 5th they sent an email to their customers promising that:
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We've chosen Interbank FX as the first broker to examine in our status reports about what works and what doesn't following the long awaited implementation of the FIFO requirement of NFA compliance rule 2-43(b). We're looking at IBFX first because they made some impressive claims about MetaTrader 4 expert advisors in their July 20th announcement:
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We've just added a new instalment to our course on how to build your very own forex trading system. This one explains a new variation on an old boiler room trick that can be used by scammers to show unrealistically profitable test results for MetaTrader robots.
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I was browsing the MQL4 forum in the hope of discovering some more news about the apparent delay in the release of MetaTrader 5 when I beheld a surprising sight. In a banner across the top FXCM were promoting their UK operation once more. This time they were being terribly blunt. It's a question we have asked here at the Trading Gurus several times, and here is how the FXCM marketing machine expressed it:
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After a lot of experimentation we finally managed to work out how duplicate the first trade in 2009 shown on the Forex MegaDroid website. Not only that, but using a demo account from FXDD that supplies historical data with only 4 decimal places, and working out exactly the right values for the Risk Level and GMT Offset input settings allowed us to duplicate the first 75 trades, up to and including the loss of $4672.00 on March 18th. After that though, the differences between our backtest results and those shown by the Forex MegaDroid team become more and more obvious.
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It's now three month's since "Forex MegaDroid landed on the Forex industry like a BOMB". The time has come to try and tie together all the backtesting, forward testing and live testing, and to decide whether to keep the Droid running on our virtual private server for a while longer. Unfortunately this is not an easy task!
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An email from the Forex MegaDroid team was waiting for me in my inbox this morning. It seems they will be releasing a new version of their robot before the end of the month, which is when the first-in first-out provisions of NFA compliance rule 2-43(b) finally come into force.
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Here are our first set of Forex MegaDroid live test results, which cover the month of June 2009. Here at the Trading Gurus we recommend forward testing any new forex trading system on a demo account for at least three months before even thinking of trying it using real money on a live account. However our loyal readers have been asking to see some live results. After 2 months testing on a demo account with no major disasters for the MegaDroid we decided to start live testing using a modest initial deposit of $500. On an account that supports micro-lots this is sufficiently large to allow the Droid's money management system to start trading with more than the bare minimum position size. It is also a reasonable sum of money for someone new to forex trading to be prepared to lose. As you have hopefully realised by now, newcomers to forex trading do have an unfortunate tendency to lose money.
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We've just added a new installment to our course on how to build your very own forex trading system. This one is something of a history lesson about the legendary Turtle Traders.
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